Issue 2226

DOOR TO DOOR SERVICE FROM TURKEY TO UK Details on page 3

Est: May 1978. SURMA 43 Years, Issue 2226, 29 October - 04 November 2021, 20 - 26 TJK•tT 1428 mJÄuJ, 50p

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2 UmrJUmr

29 October - 04 November 2021

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29 October - 04 November 2021

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UmrJUmr

29 October - 04 November 2021

7

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8

UmrJUmr

29 October - 04 November 2021

rLKf ßnPX KmP~ TrPuj \JkJPjr Kk´P¿x oJPTJ, yJrJPuj rJ\TL~ optJhJ

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07951 478 557 07442 011762 07774 977 194 (Text Only)

xTJu 10aJ~ mJxnmj ßgPT KmP~ ßrK\Kˆs TrJr \jq ßmKrP~PZjÇ F xo~ KfKj KkfJoJfJ- âJCj Kk´¿ lMKoKyPfJ FmÄ âJCj Kk´P¿x KTPTJ'r k´Kf ßmv TP~TmJr oJgJ jf TPr vs≠J \JjJjÇ mJxJ ßZPz pJS~Jr @PV ßZJa ßmJjPT TP~TmJr @Kuñj TPrjÇ KhPjr @PrJ kPr jmhŒKfr xÄmJh xPÿuj TrJr TgJ rP~PZÇ FPf fJrJ @jMÔJKjTnJPm KmP~r ßWJweJ ßhPmj FmÄ KjmtJKYf ú PuJ fJPhr 5Ka k´Pvúr C•r ßhPmjÇ FA k´vè TJPZ @PVA kJKbP~ ßh~J yP~PZÇ \JkJPjr AoPkKr~Ju yJC\PyJfl FP\K¿ mPuPZ, FaJ FA \jq TrJ yP~PZ ßp, ßoRKUTnJPm k´Pvúr C•r ßh~Jr xo~ Kk´P¿x oJPTJ Kmmsf yPf kJPrjÇ FA hŒKfr ßk´Por Umr lÅJx y~ ßmv TP~T mZr @PVÇ fUj ßgPTA hMKj~Jr KoKc~J fJPhr KhPT TzJ híKÓ ßrPUPZÇ IPjT Umr k´TJv yP~PZ fJPhrPT KjP~Ç KT∂á Kk´P¿x oJPTJ'r FA ßk´o KjP~ \JkJPjA @PZ fLms KmfTtÇ muJ yPò, ßTJoMPrJr xPñ 2017 xJPu mJVhJj xŒjú TPr ßlPuj Kk´P¿x oJPTJÇ kPrr mZrA fJPhr KmP~ TrJr TgJ KZuÇ KT∂á ßTJoMPrJr oJ @KgtT xoxqJ~ @PZj, F \jq ßxA KmP~ KmuK’f TrJ y~Ç muJ y~, ßTJoMPrJr oJ fJr FT xJPmT ßk´KoPTr TJZ ßgPT Ee KjP~KZPuj, fJ KfKj ßvJi TrPf kJPrjKjÇ fPm F TJrPe KmP~ KmuK’f yP~PZ- F IKnPpJV k´fqJUqJj TPrPZ rJ\k´JxJhÇ

UmrJUmr

29 October - 04 November 2021

9

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10 UmrJUmr How to stay safe this Autumn, as experts warn of doublethreat of Covid and flu (from 20 page) up to 60,000.

Despite this, the seriousness of flu is often underestimated. According to a survey of 300 South Asians in England, 41% of respondents view it as just a bad cold and a quarter (26%) don’t even know you can die from it.

Those most at risk from Covid are also most at risk of getting seriously sick with the influenza virus. People who need both the flu and Covid boosters include over 50s, those at risk or with long-term health conditions, and health and social care workers.

Pregnant women and children and teenagers aged 2 to 16 only need to get the flu vaccine. Eligible people should book an appointment for their flu jab at either their GP practice or their local pharmacy as soon as possible.

Expectant mothers can ask for their free flu jab at their local maternity service.

Covid and flu vaccine for children and teenagers Although Covid doesn’t usually affect the very young as badly, offering children Covid jabs will reduce the number currently missing out on school after testing positive. Vaccinating children and teenagers against Covid and flu also minimises the spread of both viruses among vulnerable groups like older people and babies (in the

29 October - 04 November 2021

case of the flu). Flu can also lead to serious problems in children, including bronchitis and pneumonia.

Children aged 2 to 11 and those aged 2 to 17 years with long-term health conditions will receive a nasal spray of the flu vaccine free on the NHS. The spray may contain pork products and a pork-free option is available on request.

12–17-year-olds will also be offered a single dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech Covid vaccine. The UK is not alone in doing this, several countries have already immunised millions of children with the same vaccines, so there’s plenty of real-world data, as well as trial data to support their safety and effectiveness.

Children will only be vaccinated with parental consent and many Covid jabs will be administered in school as with other vaccines like tetanus.

Other preventative measures for avoiding Covid and the flu When someone with Covid coughs, sings or even breathes, they send out tiny particles containing the virus that hang around in the air like smoke.

Studies show that allowing fresh air into a room, even for just 10 minutes at a time throughout the day disperses these particles, reducing Covid transmission rates by up to 70% Wear a facemask in busy or enclosed spaces to reduce your chance of catching Covid Get tested regularly and isolate at home if you test positive Find out how to book your flu vaccine and if you’re eligible for the Covid booster at nhs.uk/wintervaccinations https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q QitHbIXyN8

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14

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29 October - 04 November 2021

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oMÜKY∂J 15

29 October - 04 November 2021

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29 October - 04 November 2021

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29 October - 04 November 2021

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29 October - 04 November 2021

19

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20

UmrJUmr

29 October - 04 November 2021

Is the new Delta variant REALLY more transmissible?

Continued from page ➠ Back surveillance programmes detected AY.4.2 in 303 of 315 local authorities in the fortnight ending October 16, the latest available. The 12 areas where AY.4.2 was not detected in the latest fortnight were: Babergh, Burnley, Copeland, Hinckley and Bosworth, King's Lynn and West Norfolk, Melton, Mid Suffolk, Newark and Sherwood, Oadby and Wigston, Pendle, Rushcliffe and South Holland.

Despite data showing it is still outcompeting its ancestor, some scientists are now questioning how much more transmissible than Delta the subtype really is. Figures show it is now behind one in ten cases in the UK, up slightly from around one in 13 a fortnight ago. But the data also reveals its curve is flattening off.

Northumbria University scientists involved in variant surveillance say it is still 'unclear' if AY.4.2 is actually more transmissible because too little is known about its mutations.

They pointed to the 'founder effect' as an alternative explanation, when a strain spreads rapidly because it is the only one in a specific cluster of cases, like a school.

But Professor Francois Balloux, a geneticist and Covid commentator at University College London who was among the first to raise concerns about the variant last week, said the slower

rise was 'still compatible' with a 10 percent transmission advantage. And Professor Jeffrey Barrett, who heads up Covid surveillance at the Sanger Institute, said the data was 'consistent with a small, but real, growth advantage vs other Delta'.

AY.4.2 was first detected in the UK in June, where it has gradually spread across the whole country. Experts estimate it first emerged in London or the South East, but there is no clear proof on its origin yet. It carries two key mutations, A222V and Y145H, which both slightly alter the shape of the spike protein which the virus uses to invade cells. Scientists claim A222V was previously seen on another variant (B.1.177) first spotted in Spain before spreading to other countries. But studies suggest it did not make the strain more transmissible, and that it was only spread by holidaymakers returning

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home.

Where did AY.4.2 come from? This sub-variant of Delta was first detected in the UK on June 26, according to UK-based tracking. Scientists say it is likely that AY.4.2 evolved here because the UK has much higher case numbers than other countries. But it is possible that the variant was imported from abroad and then started to spread in the country.

Why is it only in a few countries?

AY.4.2 has been spotted in more than 40 countries including the UK, Germany, Denmark and the US to date. It may not have been spotted in other places due to a lack of Covid surveillance, which would lead to new sub-variant not being spotted.But travel restrictions may also be behind the slow spread, which have made it less likely that the virus will be passed between countries.

How infectious is the sub-variant?

Experts estimate that AY.4.2 is around 10 per cent more infectious than the Delta variant. They say this may lead to a marginally higher number of cases, but that it will not trigger a spike similar to that seen when Delta arrived in the UK. Should I be concerned about AY.4.2? Scientists say there is no reason to be too concerned about AY.4.2. There is no evidence to suggest that vaccines are less effective against the sub-variant, or that it increases the risk of hospitalisation and death.But laboratory tests are underway at labs in the UK and Denmark to assess this.

Professor Lawrence Young from Warwick University said: 'There is no reason to suggest vaccines won't be as effective.' And Professor Anders Fomsgaard from Denmark's Covid surveillance centre said: 'We are not concerned by this. We see nothing in this point of time that indicates it is more contagious, resistant or pathogenic.' There is more concern about the mutation Y145H, which slightly changes the shape of the site antibodies bind to making it harder for them to stop an infection from happening.

Scientists say this builds on mutations in Delta, and could make the subtype even more resistant to vaccines than its parent. AY.4.2 has been recorded in more than 40 countries to date, but the UK is the only one seeing a sustained outbreak of the subtype. It did rise to around one in 50 Covid cases in Denmark in early September, but it has now fallen again to below one in 100. Experts in the country say they are not concerned about AY.4.2.

UK health officials labelled it a 'variant under investigation' last week.

This category is reserved for variants which are spreading in the UK that may be more transmissible or better able to evade vaccines than other mutant strains, but is a step below 'variant of concern' which includes Delta and Alpha. Scientists have raised questions over whether the AY.4.2 is actually more transmissible than other Covid variants. Dr Matthew Bashton and Dr Darren Smith, both involved in Covid surveillance at Northumbria University, have suggested it might not be as transmissible as originally thought.

In an article for scientific publication The Conversation, they wrote: 'AY.4.2 has grown steadily in volume to the point where it now accounts for about nine per cent of UK cases in the last 28 days. 'But whether its two mutations offer the virus a selective advantage is unclear as well.' They added: 'Really, it is too early to tell if this is the beginning of the next dominant lineage. Any ability it might have to escape immunity needs to be confirmed by experimental work.' The scientists suggested the 'founder effect' may explain the spread of parent variant AY.4 — the most dominant Delta subtype which includes AY.4.2 — in the UK. This is when a 'founder' virus is the only one present at an area where people mix such as a concert or school. It spreads at the locations, sparking a higher number of cases compared to other mutant strains. This then leads to data suggesting it is more transmissible but in fact the rise could be because of the events. The pair wrote: 'Sometimes, for a certain form of a virus to dominate, it doesn't have to be better than others — it simply needs to be in the right place at the right time.'

Professor Balloux told MailOnline updated figures from the Sanger Institute, which makes up the bulk of genomic surveillance in Britain, still suggested the variant was around 10 per cent more transmissible than Delta. He said: 'I feel that the most recent numbers are still compatible with a 10 percent higher transmissibility for AY.4.2. 'If the lineage is at 10 per cent on a given day, it would be expected to be at 11 per cent five days later.'

Professor Barrett said: 'AY.4.2 continues slow climb in proportion: 9.7 per cent in England in our most recent two week average, just over 10 per cent if you look only at the most recent week of data. 'Another week consistent with small, but real, growth advantage vs. other Delta.' The most recent technical briefing from the UK Health Security Agency — which replaced the now-defunct Public Health England — also suggested it may be more transmissible.

Scientists said it appeared to have a 'modestly increased growth rate' compared to other variants, and was better at spreading in households than Delta. But Professor Lawrence Young, a virologist at Warwick Medical School, told MailOnline: 'There's no firm evidence of increased transmissibility but it's still early days.

"We don't know anything about the immunology of AY.4.2 and whether it is more resistant to vaccine-induced immunity.'

News

29 October - 04 November 2021

UK rejects compromise plan on EU court role in Northern Ireland Brexit deal Continued from page ➠ Back Ireland. Brexit minister Lord Frost has called for the removal of the ECJ’s oversight role. It comes after reports that the European Court of Justice could have its role downgraded in the territory but still play a part in overseeing the Brexit deal. Answering questions at a parliamentary committee hearing, Lord Frost said the UK was “not interested in arrangements which would keep the court in by some other name”. And he said it could not be put “at one removed” from decisions to satisfy the UK. “What we'd like to see instead is an arbitration mechanism, which is normal in these sort of treaties; it is exactly what we have in the trade and cooperation agreement (TCA),” he said.

The minister added: “It's highly unusual in an international treaty to have disputes settled in the court of one of the parties and that is the fundamental principle that we take into this, and the fundamental thing we need to remove from the arrangements going forward.”

Lord Frost agreed to exactly this plan two years ago when he personally negotiated the agreement, which he now blames for disruption to trade.

Asked whether he could be leaving room for another role for the ECJ in the agreement, he added: “I think many people have been trying to play on the words that we use to make them bear a meaning that they won't support and to explore nuances that don't exist.”

The minister is currently leading talks with Brussels over the agreement, which has governed Northern Ireland's trade relationship with the EU and Great Britain since Brexit. He last week welcomed EU proposals to reduce paperwork and checks on goods travelling across the Irish Sea, and said they were the basis for negotiations.

But he told MPs on Monday: “The problem with them is that they don't go far enough.

“I'm not sure they would quite deliver the kind of ambitious freeing-up of trade between Great Britain and Northern Ireland that we want to see, but what we're trying to test is whether they could find the basis to go further than what they have put on the table.

“That's the kind of discussions we have been having and it has been quite constructive so far, but the gaps between us remain significant, and there is a lot of work to go through.”

Lord Frost said the problem needed to be solved this autumn. He also blasted the EU for dragging its feet on whether the UK should be allowed to participate in EU programmes, questioning whether the bloc was acting in “good faith”. Under proposals to change the NI agreement reported by The Times, day-to-day disputes would be handled by an independent arbitration panel – with the ECJ only called in to interpret European Union law on a limited basis where required.

The EU says the ECJ must have a role in the agreement because it allows Northern Ireland to stay inside the

single market and customs union.

Under the EU’s treaties, only the ECJ can interpret European law. The Northern Ireland protocol was drawn up to prevent a hard border between Ireland and Northern Ireland, a requirement of the island’s peace process; it does this by moving customs and regulatory checks to the Irish Sea, between Northern Ireland and Great Britain.

Climate change promises fall short and risk 'destabilised world and endless suffering' Continued from page ➠ Back severe climate breakdown, UN scientists have warned. Current promises on emissions leave the world facing 2.7C of heating, the report found.The UN Environment Programme's (UNEP) latest annual emissions report exposes the gap between what countries have promised and what should be done to achieve the Paris Agreement target of limiting warming to 1.5C. It finds each country's action plans known as Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) - only knock 7.5% off predicted 2030 emissions, but 55% is needed to meet the 1.5C goal.

Beyond 1.5C, more severe impacts of climate change kick in, from extreme weather to rising sea levels. Inger Andersen, executive director of UNEP said we have eight years to "make the plans, put in place the policies, implement them and ultimately deliver the cuts. The clock is ticking loudly."

"Climate change is no longer a future problem. It is a problem now," she said.

It comes just as Australia commits to net zero by 2050 and China sets out its plan to peak carbon emissions by 2030.

The Emissions Gap Report also found the world is facing at least 2.7C of heating this century based on the latest climate promises for 2030. Next week leaders will meet for climate talks at COP26, which aims to "keep 1.5°C alive". Overshooting these goals will lead to "a destabilised world and endless suffering, especially among those who have contributed the least to the [greenhouse gas] emissions in the atmosphere," said Patricia Espinosa, executive secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.

"We are nowhere near where science says we should be," Espinosa said.

However, net zero commitments may offer a glimmer of hope, as they could curb heating to 2.2°C, but only if they were "made robust and if 2030 promises were made consistent with the net zero commitments" the report said.

But it warns net zero pledges are still vague, incomplete in many cases, and inconsistent with most 2030 NDCs. It found the latest NDCs from some G20 countries were no better than their previous offering - such as Australia, Brazil and Mexico - or so unambitious that they took further policy action, like Russia's.

Caterina Brandmayr, head of climate policy at Green Alliance, warned net zero targets are "only the first step, and must urgently be translated into concrete actions, particularly by G20

nations". "COP26 must provide a clear route forward to accelerate emission reductions and ensure countries continue to ramp up their near term climate action," said Brandmayr. Piers Forster, climate change professor at Leeds University, said the report paints "an overly bleak picture". He said: "It is true that the 2030 emissions gap remains but if you look at their numbers, it shows that the gap in longer term emission targets is almost closed.

"These national plans show that the costs of action are far less than the cost of inaction, so we have it all to play for at [COP26] to close these gaps even further." The report also highlights ways to slash emissions quickly, including by tackling the lesser talked about greenhouse gas methane through technology and diet changes.

How to stay safe this Autumn, as experts warn of double-threat of Covid and flu Continued from page ➠ Back limited socialising and exposure to bugs, the nation’s immune system is at an all-time low.

Scientists are warning of a particularly bad flu season while Covid cases surge. However, there are things we can all do to limit the spread of both viruses, keep ourselves safe, and protect our friends and families. From letting fresh air indoors to Covid booster jabs, here are actions we can

21

all take to reduce the risks from Covid and flu.

30 million Covid booster jabs to be offered this winter Covid is set to spike again this winter and vaccines remain our best line of defence. That’s why the NHS is inviting people over 50, clinically vulnerable people and frontline health and social care workers to top-up their immunity by getting the Covid booster jab. People aged 16 to 49 with underlying health conditions and anyone living with someone with an immune disorder should also get the booster jab.

Covid vaccines have been vital to us regaining some normality in our daily lives. So far, 9 out of 10 adults have had at least one Covid jab, resulting in 24 million fewer infections and over 130,000 lives saved in England alone.

To be eligible for a Covid booster you need to have received your second dose at least six months ago. If you are eligible, you should receive a letter or text letting you know when it’s your turn.

Who should get a flu jab?

The NHS will offer 35 million flu vaccines this Autumn – five million more than usual. To stave off a serious wave of the flu, many people will need to get the flu jab for the first time this Autumn.

Sadly, around 11,000 people die from the flu in England in an average year.

However, experts are warning that this year the number of deaths could shoot page 10

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Budget 2021 news: Minister can’t rule out below-inflation pay rise Continued from page ➠ Back statement ahead of his Commons speech on Wednesday that “with the economy firmly back on track, it's right that nurses, teachers and all the other public sector workers who played their part during the pandemic see their wages rise”.

However, unions warned any pay rises must be above the rate of inflation, which is soaring. On Tuesday morning Paul Scully, the business minister, was unable to confirm this would be the case, saying any rises would be based on the recommendations of pay review bodies. Meanwhile, the government has also announced a rise in the minimum wage for workers aged 23 or older. Some 2 million people on the so-called “national living wage” will see their pay increase from £8.91 an hour to £9.50 from 1 April. The minimum pay for 21- and 22-year-olds is also set to rise, as well as for apprentices.

Key points Public sector pay freeze imposed on millions during pandemic to be lifted... ...but minister can’t say if salary rises will keep pace with inflation Minimum and living wages to rise Public sector pay freeze imposed on millions during pandemic to be lifted The government is set to lift the public sector pay freeze imposed on millions of workers last year, Rishi Sunak will be announcing on Wednesday.The partial pay freeze was imposed by the chancellor in response to the coronavirus pandemic, and was described by unions as "kick in the teeth" for key workers who it hit, writes Jon Stone. Critics accused the chancellor of economic mismanagement for taking demand out of the economy during a downturn, but Mr Sunak said he wanted public sector wages to match "the context of the wider economic climate" in which wages were falling.

Public sector pay freeze imposed on millions of workers during pandemic to be lifted. Minimum and living wages to rise Some 2 million workers will get a pay rise next year when the national living wage is increased from £8.91 an hour to £9.50. The change will take effect on 1 April, the Treasury said ahead of Rishi Sunak’s Budget address. The 59p hourly boost will mean a full-time worker on the living wage will get a pay rise of more than £1,000 per year, according to the government. But critics questioned how much better off workers will be considering the chancellor has already hiked National Insurance and cut universal credit as inflation rises. Many universal credit claimants are in work.

29 October - 04 November 2021

Nonetheless, the 6.6 per cent hike is more than twice the current consumer price inflation rate of 3.1 per cent.

While the national minimum wage applies to everyone of school-leaving age, the living wage is for the over23s. For those aged 21 and 22, the minimum wage will rise from £8.36 an hour to £9.18, while the figure for apprentices will go from £4.30 to £4.81 per hour.

The Minister can’t say if public sector pay will keep pace with inflation. Paul Scully, the business minister, has refused to say whether public sector workers will get an above-inflation pay rise next year. The Treasury has announced an end to the coronavirusdriven public sector pay freeze ahead of Rishi Sunak’s Budget speech tomorrow. However, Mr Scully said the level of any increase would depend on the recommendations of the pay review bodies when they report in the spring.

Speaking on Sky News, he declined to say whether they would be above the rate of inflation at the time. "That will be determined by the pay review bodies. The chancellor is keen to give people a rise," he said. "They will then take that into account as they look to what should be an appropriate rise for the public sector, given the public finances. "I can't preempt what they are going to do. We will see where we are next April when the review bodies have reported." Living wage hike will cause small firms to struggle, lobby group claims The UK’s smallest companies could struggle to fill jobs because of the impending living wage rise, a lobby group has claimed. Mike Cherry, the chairman of the Federation of Small Businesses, told LBC he was worried about Rishi Sunak’s Budget. He said: “For the smallest employers they will struggle to maintain jobs they need because of the increase of the national living wage, and employees will have to face the increase of NI contributions next April so it is a problem all around. “As we look at consumers we should look at businesses and tradesmen, the cost of diesel and the cost of materials. That's alongside debts and coming out of the pandemic.”

He added: “The smallest businesses will really struggle to keep people employed with the living wage going up higher than expected. The government should increase the employment allowance to allow businesses to employ people on their books.” ‘Go slow’ strategy for customs checks ‘planned by France in fishing row’ A “go-slow” strategy for customs checks coming in and out of the UK before Christmas is reportedly being prepared by France as the row over fishing rights after Brexit escalates.

France will finalise a set of potential sanctions on Tuesday which could be rolled out if its fishermen are not given greater access to UK waters, writes Emily Atkinson. Fury was sparked after the government in London announced last month that it

had approved just 12 of the 47 applications it had received from French small boats. Paris called the move “unacceptable”. ‘Go slow’ strategy for customs checks ‘planned

by France in fishing row’ MPs should wear masks in Commons, WHO envoy suggests. MPs should wear masks in the Commons to mitigate the risks of “unstoppable” Covid-19, a senior World Health Organisation (WHO) official has said.

Dr David Nabarro, the WHO’s Covid19 special envoy, told Sky News: “This virus is absolutely unstoppable, it gets everywhere, and so we have to do everything we possibly can to stop it. “And one of the best ways to stop it is a well-fitting surgical mask properly over your face, pushed in over your nose, covering everything, and that reduces the risk to others and the risk to you.

“If it works, why on earth don't people use it? It's not a party political issue – this virus doesn't vote. “And indeed, there's no difference in how you deal with the virus when you vote for this party or that party. “So everybody, wear masks when you are in close confinement, it's the right sensible proper thing to do, and everybody should be doing it, including our leaders.” Though not as fraught an issue as in the US, mask-wearing by MPs has become a talking point in recent days. Last week Sajid Javid, the health secretary, urged his colleagues to cover their faces while in the Commons, though at the weekend Rishi Sunak would not be drawn on whether he thought they should as a matter of course.

Tories won’t wear masks in Commons as they ‘know each other’, Jacob Rees-Mogg says. The Speaker says ministers should resign for pre-Budget briefings on spending.Sir Lindsay Hoyle has suggested ministers should resign for pre-briefing details of the Budget, as he said it was unacceptable for the government to “try to run roughshod” over parliament.

Expressing his anger at the move, the Commons speaker hit out at the decision of the Treasury to announce a multi-billion pound funding boost for the NHS — three days before the Budget, writes Ashley Cowburn. The £5.9bn package unveiled on Sunday evening is aimed at tackling waiting lists, with the number of people waiting for routine hospital treatment in England at the highest levels since records began in 2007.

The Speaker says ministers should resign for pre-Budget briefings on spending. Cop26 on brink as Boris Johnson reveals he’s ‘very worried’ and climate fund deadline is missed.

Hopes for a breakthrough on tackling the climate crisis at Cop26 are fading after Boris Johnson admitted he is “very worried” the summit will fail and it was revealed poor nations will not receive the $100bn of help they were promised until 2023 – three years late. With just six days until the crucial Glasgow gathering, the United Nations also released fresh alarming evidence that the world is “way off track” in curbing greenhouse gas

emissions.

Speaking to children in Downing Street, the prime minister dropped his previous optimism about the chances of reaching an agreement to deliver net zero emissions by 2050, writes Rob Merrick. Cop26 on brink as PM says he’s ‘very worried’ and climate fund deadline missed. Sunak ‘rules out VAT cut on household energy bills' Rishi Sunak has ruled out cutting VAT on household energy bills to help families struggling through the winter, according to a report. Treasury insiders told the Mail that the chancellor believes slashing VAT would subsidise the rich while providing little benefit to poorer households.

Labour has been calling on the government to bring in the measure, promised by Michael Gove and Boris Johnson during the Brexit campaign.

Earlier this week Labour produced research which it said showed poorer households pay a far bigger proportion of their income in fuel bills.Government cannot guarantee public sector pay rise will be above inflation Sunak is scrapping the public sector pay freeze - but will any rise be above inflation? Paul Scully, a business minister sent out on the broadcast round this morning, said he couldn’t be sure. “It could be anything,” he told Sky News. “We will see where we are next April when the review bodies have reported.”Government cannot guarantee public sector pay rise will be above inflation WHO urges all MPs to wear masks in Commons.Face masks are increasingly becoming a battle line in British politics, with Tory MPs generally not wearing them while those on the opposition benches take a more cautious approach to covering up. Last week Jacob Rees-Mogg, Leader of the House, bizarrely claimed that he and his colleagues didn’t need to wear them because they “know each other”.

But the World Health Organisation has today called on all MPs to make use of coverings during tomorrow’s Budget.

Dr David Nabarro, the WHO’s special envoy for Covid-19, said that “everybody” should be wearing masks in close confinement with other people, “including our leaders”.

WHO’s Covid chief says MPs should wear masks in the Commons. Out on the broadcast round this morning, Paul Scully, a business minister, said he would wear a mask on Wednesday if it’s “busy” - a strange comment given Budget day is never exactly a quiet one. “Where I have been in a room or area where it is absolutely rammed I wear a mask - on the cab on the way here, on the Tube, on the trains, '' he told Sky News.

What do we already know will be in the chancellor’s Budget? Such has been the volume of announcements made by the Treasury in recent days ahead of the Budget, Sir Lindsay Hoyle, the Commons speaker, felt moved to slap down Rishi Sunak for running "roughshod" over parliament. page 23

News

29 October - 04 November 2021

23

MP OWEN PATERSON FACES SUSPENSION FOR BREAKING LOBBYING RULES Continued from page ➠ Back he had failed to declare his interest and used his parliamentary office on 16 occasions for business meetings with his clients between October 2016 and February 2020, and sent two letters relating to his business interests on taxpayer-funded Commons-headed notepaper.

She called it “an egregious case of paid advocacy” and said Paterson had “repeatedly used his privileged position to benefit two companies for whom he was a paid consultant, and that this has brought the house into disrepute”. The standards committee ruled Paterson should be suspended from the Commons for 30 sitting days. Under a law introduced in the wake of the MPs’ expenses scandal, any MP suspended for more than 10 days can face a trigger ballot where their constituents decide whether to force a byelection by supporting a recall petition. Ten percent of the electors in Paterson’s seat would need to support the petition for a byelection to be called. Paterson has previously served in two cabinet posts – including as secretary of state for environment, food and rural affairs.

Budget 2021 news: Minister can’t rule out below-inflation pay rise

(from 22 page) The £5.9bn package announced for the NHS on Sunday appeared to be the straw that broke the camel's back, with the furious speaker yesterday saying it was "unacceptable" for MPs not to hear about Budget details first. So with just a day to go until Sunak poses outside No 11 Downing Street with his red box before making his way to the Commons chamber to deliver his speech, what do we already know will be in there?

What has already been announced?

Plan B Covid restrictions could result in ‘£18bn’ hit to the economy. The introduction of Covid plan B restrictions for five months could result in an £18 billion hit to the economy, according to a report. According to government documents obtained by the

Politico website, businesses would be severely impacted as people work from home. Plan B restrictions would include workers being asked to stay home, mandatory face masks and vaccine passports.

Former England manager interested in cladding? The Department of Housing responded to a female journalist by using the name of former England football manager Terry Venables, also known as ‘El Tel’. LBC’s Rachel Venables (no relation, as far as we know) requested information from ministers on cladding. “Good to see El Tel suddenly taking an interest in cladding I suppose,” Venables said of the response. “Honestly. Were they trying to be funny with a nickname that I wasn’t meant to see? I can confirm I signed the original request with my *actual* name.”

Paterson rejects watchdog ruling he breached lobbying rules Tory MP Owen Paterson has rejected a watchdog’s ruling that he broke parliament’s lobbying rules. He accused Kathryn Stone, the Parliamentary Commissioner for Standards, of making up her mind before she had spoken to him. Paterson also claimed the commissioner ignored the evidence of “17 witnesses who came forward to support me were also not spoken to and their written evidence ignored”.

In a statement, he said: “This is a biased process and not fair. “It offends against the basic standard of procedural fairness that no-one should be found guilty until they have had a chance to be heard and to present their evidence including their witnesses.”

Allegra Stratton ditches diesel car ahead of Cop26. Allegra Stratton says she has got rid of her diesel car ahead of the upcoming Cop26 summit. The PM’s Cop26 spokeswoman came under fire earlier this year after revealing she drove a Volkswagen Golf while encouraging people to reduce their emissions. Speaking to Times Radio ahead of next week’s summit in Glasgow, Ms Strattgon said she is now without a vehicle and will use trains to travel. She said she will travel to Cop26 by rail and will consider buying an electric vehicle in the future.

Government must make people fly less, say climate advisers. Boris Johnson’s strategy for cutting emissions to net zero is a major step forward – but will fail to reduce demand for flying, the government’s climate advisers have

said. The Climate Change Committee (CCC) said the strategy set out by Mr Johnson’s government last week had left some big gaps, including measures to reduce the number of flights. UK government must make people fly less, say climate advisers.

Buying an electric car is better for environment Continued from page ➠ Back you play your part at home, and what changes would have the most impact?”.

Question 3 reads: “What’s the best transport choice for the climate: buying an electric car or using public transport as much as possible?” While 74 per cent of respondents select public transport, the “correct answer”, according to the BBC, is the electric car. The article explains: “Driving a battery-powered car charged with renewable energy saves about two tonnes of CO2 each year – more if you are swapping from an SUV. “Using public transport still means creating carbon emissions – unless you live where all the buses have been converted to electric vehicles.” The implication is that a commuter who wants to limit their impact on the environment should give up rail, bus and tram travel and instead buy an electric car. But the compilers of the quiz do not appear to take into account the whole life carbon costs of an electric vehicle (for example, the greenhouse emissions produced during the manufacturing process). The quiz has staggered experts on transport and the environment.

Thomas Ableman, founder of the Snap inter-city bus service and now director of innovation at Transport for London, tweeted: “OMG! A BBC quiz says switching to public transport is the WRONG choice for the climate versus driving an electric car. “This is absolutely extraordinary! “Most rail journeys are made on electric trains!

And all cars have vast embedded carbon.”

A BBC spokesperson said: “Answers to the quiz are from research published in the Environmental Research Letters journal last year. “The study’s authors screened thousands of studies to identify the options that would have the

most impact on reducing CO2 emissions.” On Monday a new train operator, Lumo, launched services between the English and Scottish capitals. The company says it aims to reduce carbon emissions “by encouraging travellers to use greener, electric rail travel”.

Investor sentiment falls on government recovery plans Continued from page ➠ Back more than £20,000 excluding property, savings and workplace pensions, found that 60% do not believe Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the Conservative government have handled the pandemic properly. An additional 59% said they lack faith in the government's ability to tackle the record levels of public debt that was accrued during the coronavirus pandemic, while half of UK investors said they are concerned about the potential of acute economic austerity over the coming years.

"As recent policy reforms would suggest, the government is already taking significant action to repay the large level of public debt accumulated during the pandemic. Consequently, the UK is now approaching an interesting juncture when it comes to its postpandemic recovery - and clearly, some investors are worried," said Giles Coghlan, chief currency analyst at HYCM. "Given the fact that recent changes have little precedent outside of a Budget, our research shows that a large number of investors are faltering when it comes to their trust in Boris Johnson's Government. The UK's debt to GDP ratio has almost doubled since the 1970s and is well above the European average. Investors will be mindful that the UK now owes more money than it prints."

He added that despite the uncertainty, some analysts are predicting that the FTSE 100 could potentially offer better value for medium-term investors when compared with US stocks. "With numerous changes already in the offing, from taxation reforms to national insurance policy overhauls, traders and investors will no doubt be adjusting their strategies accordingly.

Investors should monitor any developments closely before making any hasty changes to their portfolio."

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Budget 2021 news: Minister can’t rule out below-inflation pay rise

London 29 Occtober : Rishi Sunak’s 2021 Budget will include an end to the yearlong public sector wage freeze imposed during the coronavirus pandemic, the Treasury has said. The chancellor said in a Page ❚◗ 22

Buying an electric car is better for environment

London 29 Occtober : As a new lowcarbon train operator begins a link from London to Edinburgh, the BBC has urged travellers to forsake public transport in favour of electric cars. An Electric cars are ‘best transport choice for the climate’, claims quiz In a quiz posted online ahead of the Cop26 climate summit in Glasgow, readers are invited to find out “how can Page ❚◗ 23

Investor sentiment falls on government recovery plans London 29 Occtober : UKbased investors are losing faith in the government’s ability to rebuild the economy following the pandemic, HYCM research has found.

The survey of nearly 1,500 investors with investments of Page ❚◗ 23

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MP OWEN PATERSON FACES SUSPENSION FOR BREAKING LOBBYING RULES

29 October - 04 November 2021

London 29 Occtober : The Conservative MP Owen Paterson faces a 30-day suspension from the House of Commons for an “egregious” breach of lobbying rules, raising the possibility he could lose his seat if enough constituents trigger a by-election. The MP for North Shropshire, a former cabinet minister, was found by the Commons commissioner for standards, Kathryn Stone, to have breached paid advocacy rules, after it was discovered he had worked as a consultant to Randox, a clinical diagnostics company, since August 2015. It was also discovered he was a paid consultant to Lynn’s Country Foods, a processor and distributor of meat products since December 2016.

Owen Paterson could lose his seat if enough constituents trigger a byelection.

In a ruling handed down on Tuesday, the commissioner found he made three approaches to the Food Standards Agency relating to Randox and the testing of antibiotics in milk; seven approaches to the same agency relating to Lynn’s Country Foods; and four approaches to ministers at the Department for International Development relating to Randox and blood testing technology. Stone said Page ❚◗ 23

UK rejects compromise plan on EU court role in Northern Ireland Brexit deal London 29 Occtober : The UK's Brexit minister has rejected a compromise plan over the question of how much power EU judges should have in Northern Page ❚◗ 21

Climate change promises fall short and risk 'destabilised world and endless suffering'

Is the new Delta variant REALLY more transmissible?

London 29 Occtober : Only a dozen areas of England have London 29 Occtober : The now not recorded a single latest global climate promises case of an offshoot of the to cut emissions are not yet Delta Covid variant that enough to stay under the experts fear is even more dangerous threshold of global transmissible. One of the heating that would trigger Government's largest Covid Page ❚◗ 21 Page ❚◗ 21

How to stay safe this Autumn, as experts warn of double-threat of Covid and flu London 29 Occtober : As the seasons change and with children back at school, we all tend to catch more coughs and colds. But this Autumn is different – after 18 months of Page ❚◗ 21

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