Issue 2270

‘IJAFo F KyC\ \JP~JKjˆ’

ÇÇ xroJ kKfPmhj ÇÇ

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Bmiv‡q‡ji GKRb wekvj mg_K

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Liz Truss takes on Tory rebels in battle to rein in benefits

Continued from ➠ Back page want to win hearts and minds because I really believe my plan is the right one for the country ” However, she restated her determination to pursue the agenda she set out over the summer a sign that she is willing to fight for traditional Tory policies such as incentivising more people into work

Ms Truss said: “In order to get Britain moving, we need to have the courage of our convictions As Conservatives, we have fallen out of the habit of making Conservative arguments “I believe in the values of our party low taxes, enterprise and aspiration But we need to start making those arguments again from first principles and bring the British people with us “We need to move away from the politics of distribution and work together to build a high growth, low tax economy ” Ms Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng, the Chancellor, were forced into a U turn over the top rate of tax during the early hours of Monday prompting a short lived rally in the value of the pound

In his speech to the Conservative Party conference, Mr Kwarteng acknowledged it had been a "tough" day but added: "We need to move forward, no more distractions, we have a plan and we need to get on and deliver it." On Monday night, the Treasury said Mr Kwarteng was considering publishing his debt reduction proposals by the end of this month

The medium term fiscal plan was due to be unveiled on Nov 23, but a Treasury spokesman said work had been sped up and it was set to be published earlier In his speech to the Tory conference, the Chancellor said it would be published "shortly" Some Tories reacted with alarm to the tax U turn Daniel Kawczynski said he was “disappointed” by it, telling the BBC that scrapping the 45p rate would have attracted wealth creating entrepreneurs to the UK

However, rebels hailed their victory and singled out benefits as their next target Mr Gove who was described by Jacob Rees Mogg, the Business Secretary, as the "Tory party's version of Peter Mandelson" told Times Radio that while he would probably now vote for Ms Truss’s mini Budget, he would oppose any move to stop linking benefits to inflation “I would need a lot of persuading to move away from that,” he said “But I wouldn’t want to prejudge an argument that was put in front of me before the argument was made “Because in crises, you sometimes have to do things and embrace policies that would in other circumstances be deeply unattractive But my basic position is, yes, Boris

event: “I have to say that it would be a huge mistake not to give a cost of living increase in benefits “It cannot be that the books are balanced on the back of benefits That is not right at all ”

The concern is shared among some around Ms Truss’s top table. One senior minister said the Cabinet would “blow a raspberry” if she tried to block a benefits rise with inflation Another said it was politically untenable, given the cost of living crisis Current government policy, as set by Rishi Sunak when he was chancellor, is to increase benefits in line with September's inflation rate Some 5 7 million people were on Universal Credit this summer in England, Scotland and Wales

But Treasury ministers have refused to publicly confirm that the Truss administration will adopt the same approach, leaving open the possibility that the rise will not match inflation next year With no final decisions taken, Downing Street is understood to be considering a number of different options including linking benefits to the increase in average earnings, 5 5 per cent Inflation is almost 10 per cent and could rise higher, depending on the impact of the energy bill freeze

The Institute for Fiscal Studies said it would cost £7 billion more next year to link Universal Credit to inflation, rather than to average earnings A decision is needed by November and will come into effect from next April There is hope among government figures looking at options that the

political reality Sometimes things you want to do don’t receive the approbation of the nation that you would hope for and there’s no point in sticking with them stubbornly if there simply isn’t the desire and the appetite to do them “We live in a democracy and politicians have to be responsive to the democratic will I’m always in favour of tax cuts, always and everywhere

"This is politics Tax decisions are often reversed Governments come up with ideas that, when the reality hits, it turns out that the nation doesn’t want So you can take the pasty tax, which was reversed because it simply wasn’t going to work and then we went on to win the next general election ” Kemi Badenoch has also urged Tory MPs not to rush to the "first TV studio to let everybody know how angry you are" if they have a problem with policy Speaking during a question and answer session on the main stage of the Conservative Party conference, the International Trade Secretary said: "As a party, we need to get behind the Prime Minister We need unity "

However, Ben Houchen, the Tory mayor of the Tees Valley, called for another controversial aspect of the mini Budget scrapping the cap on bankers’ bonuses to be reversed He told a fringe event: “It’s just unnecessary, it doesn’t raise much money, it doesn’t save much money “The economic argument is understandably a sound one but it’s the wrong time, in the wrong position given where most of the country

currently sits ” Elsewhere in her article for The Telegraph, Ms Truss attempted to wave away suggestions there was a blame game over the 45p reversal by saying Mr Kwarteng was “my friend”

David Gauke, the former Tory Cabinet minister, suggested Mr Kwarteng should resign if he could not regain the confidence of the financial markets Speaking at a fringe panel by the European Movement, Mr Gauke said: “We have to have a Chancellor of the Exchequer that is seen as being credible with the markets, and the task for Kwasi Kwarteng this afternoon is to demonstrate that he is credible with the market “So I think he's made the right decision today, uncomfortable though it is, but I suspect there's still more that needs to be done “He has got to fight pretty hard to be credible with the markets, and whether he can do it or not, I don't know ”

Lord Heseltine, the former deputy prime minister, would not be drawn on whether Mr Kwarteng should resign However, he said things were "looking bleak" and called for an "impressive feat of political leadership" to rescue the Tories' electoral fortunes One backbench MP said Mr Kwarteng was a "f ing imbecile" and called for him to quit, saying the mood of the party was "glum"

Other Conservative MPs suggested that Wendy Morton, the newly appointed Chief Whip, should shoulder blame for open revolt on the Tory benches over the 45p rate One Conservative MP told the Telegraph Ms Truss had “three or four months” to improve the Tories’ polling numbers or risk a leadership challenge They said MPs would not continue to accept low ratings as a general election drew closer and would “move against her”

Nick Timothy, Theresa May's former joint chief of staff, said "MPs are openly talking" about a coup against Ms Truss, adding: "Let's not beat around the bush the libertarian part of the party has taken control of the leadership" On Tuesday, Priti Patel will say that the Conservative Party will "live or die" by how seriously it is taken on its handling of the economy In her first intervention from the back benches, the former Home Secretary will claim that the Prime Minister and Chancellor are "spending today with no thought of tomorrow, and like the Blob in the old horror film, the more resources are absorbed today, the bigger the problem gets and the more resources it will need to eat up tomorrow"

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Mordaunt: Raising benefits in line with inflation ‘makes sense’

Continued frome ➠ Back pag London 07 October : Liz Truss has been told by a member of her Cabinet that it “makes sense” for benefits payments to rise in line with inflation Commons Leader Penny Mordaunt has told Prime Minister Liz Truss that it ‘makes sense’ for benefits payments to rise in line with inflation (Jacob King/PA)© Jacob King Penny Mordaunt, the Leader of the House of Commons and a former Conservative Party leadership contender, told Times Radio that she has “always supported” both pensions and welfare support rising alongside inflation

After U turning on plans to scrap the 45p tax rate for top earners after pressure from backbench MPs, the Prime Minister is now facing uproar in some quarters of her party over speculation that the Government could oversee a real terms cuts to benefits in a bid to reduce public spending Ms Truss and her Cabinet allies have so far declined to say whether welfare payments will be increased in line with soaring inflation, prompting concerns from some senior ex ministers and backbenchers amid a fractious Conservative Party conference in Birmingham

In an intervention that will put further pressure on the Prime Minister, Ms Mordaunt said: “I have always supported, whether it’s pensions, whether it’s our welfare system, keeping pace with inflation It makes sense to do so That’s what I voted for before and so have a lot of my colleagues “But we do need to look at where we can make efficiency savings, just because of the cost challenges on those departments’ budgets ”She indicated that more detail on welfare will emerge in the “coming weeks”, adding that Ms Truss

is committed to the triple lock on pensions to safeguard payments against inflation

“Both on welfare but also on the pension lock, for example, that we brought in, the older you are, the higher your cost of living,” Ms Mordaunt said “These things were brought in for a reason The Prime Minister has been committed to that “Obviously, we want to make sure people are looked after, we want to make sure that people are able to pay their bills, we have a huge success story on getting people off welfare and into work “So we’re not about trying to help people with one hand and take it away with another

“Just like households and businesses are facing these cost challenges, so are government departments and the services that they run All that needs to be looked at and it will be brought forward in the proper way and the Cabinet will be involved in that “And you can expect to be hearing about that more in the coming weeks ” Ms Mordaunt said the Prime Minister wants to “reset Cabinet to be what it should be” “She wants Cabinet to be a forum where we can really kick the tyres on policy, we can have frank discussions that aren’t then leaked And the Cabinet hasn’t really worked like that for a while.”

Shortest serving UK prime ministers in history

Continued frome ➠ Back pag statement to the Commons on 23 September Back bench Tory rebels plotting against Ms Truss will have been emboldened by the government's decision on 3 October to U turn on a controversial plan to abolish the top rate of tax for the rich

From Theresa May to Boris Johnson and Liz Truss, the UK has had a relatively high turnover of prime ministers in recent years, following the divisive vote to leave the European Union in 2016

Here, The Independent takes a look at some of the shortest serving UK prime ministers in modern history

Bonar Law: 209 days Bonar Law, the Canadian born son of a Scottish clergyman, was elected to parliament in 1900 as the Conservative MP for Glasgow Blackfriars He had a reputation for fearlessness and was regarded as an effective speaker Conservative withdrawal from the Liberal Conservative coalition government forced Lloyd George to resign and the King then invited Bonar Law to form a new administration in 1922 But Mr Bonar was forced to resign in May 1923 due to ill health and died of throat cancer six months later

Sir Alec Douglas Home: 1 year, 1 month

Sir Alec Douglas Home, a Conservative, became prime minister in October 1963 but found himself out of office the following year, having spent just one year and one day in the top job He entered No 10 in October as a result of political manoeuvring by his predecessor, Harold Macmillan, who was determined to prevent the succession of RA Butler, the former foreign secretary Macmillan had resigned after a series of economic woes and scandals, the most damaging of which involved the minister John Profumo Born into an aristocratic family, and educated at both Eton College and Oxford University, Sir Alec was viewed by the public as out of touch and was defeated by Labour's Harold Wilson in the 1964 general election

Sir Anthony Eden: 1 year 9 months Born in Rushyford, Durham, Sir Anthony Eden was elected to parliament in 1923 and would later serve as foreign secretary three times during WWII and the Cold War He was widely regarded as Sir Winston Churchill's successor and took over from the wartime PM in 1955 at the age of 57 But he was forced to quit just over a year later as a result of his disastrous handling of the Suez crisis Sir Anthony Eden was created Earl of Avon in 1961 and died in January 1977.

Gordon Brown: 2 years 11 months

Former Labour prime minister Gordon Brown was first elected to parliament in 1983 as the MP for Dunfermline East He took over from Tony Blair as PM in 2007 and just a year later was forced to deal with the aftermath of the financial crisis Despite being credited with doing a job in handling the crash by propping up the banks, Mr Brown was defeated in the 2010 election by Conservative David

Cameron

Neville Chamberlain: 3 years Birmingham born Neville Chamberlain was firsy elected to parliament in 1918 as the Conservative MP for Ladywood Mr Chamberlain succeeded Stanley Baldwin in 1937 and was elected leader of the Conservative Party He met then German chanc:ellor Adolf Hitler in Munich 1938, the result of which was an agreement that Britain and Germany would never again go to war Mr Chamberlain declared on his return to the UK “I believe it is peace for our time” However, the success of ‘appeasement’ was short lived, as Hitler occupied Prague the following year He was forced to resign in May 1940 having failed to form a national government and after coming under attack from all sides of the Commons for his handling of the war

Theresa May: 3 years Theresa May was first elected to parliament in 1997 as the MP for Maidenhead She took over from David Cameron in 2016, following the UK’s vote to leave the EU Her premiership was largely consumed by the fallout from the vote and she resigned in 2019, having failed to win the support of MPs for her deal to take the UK out

Boris Johnson , 3 years 2 month

The consevative leader who created Bresit and won the biggest majority for the tories in the 1919 elections

The tories under the leadership of Boris Johnson handled the fastest roll out of the Covid pandemic vaccines

What the 45p income

tax rate U-turn means for you

Continued frome ➠ Back pag worse off now the top rate will remain in place, while someone on £180,000 will miss out on £1,500 in tax savings Both will still benefit from the basic rate of tax dropping from 20p to 19p next year and the reversal of the 1 25 percentage point rise in National Insurance These two policies combined will save someone earning £200,000 more than £1,800 a year, compared to the current tax year, according to analysis by tax firm Blick Rothenberg Nimesh Shah, of the company, said the U turn was “astonishing”, but more tax cuts could be on the cards for the Autumn Budget in November

“They will need to tread very carefully given the social and political backlash, but I expect the Government will be looking at measures like abolishing the tapering of the personal allowance for an income exceeding £100,000 and increasing the current £50,000 threshold for the high income child benefit charge "They could end up costing far more than the initial plan to abolish the top rate of income tax, but would certainly appear more popular "

headed for real trouble With the markets, in general, in decline, there still exists sentiment from institutional investors that more pain could be coming in these sectors and there's a chance that what we are seeing with Credit Suisse is just the beginning

One Of The World's Biggest Banks Is Collapsing?

Continued from

back page institutions

According to CNBC and other sources, Credit Suisse saw a dip of nearly 10% in its stock price in over the weekend trading which continues a downward path over the last six months which has seen more than a 50% drop It's a troubling sign for the bank which could be facing down chain problems similar to what we've seen in massive market upheavals of the past And the current trends have some experts concerned about the bank's long term health as well as how this situation compares to what we saw 14 years ago

One of the biggest issues facing Credit Suisse right now is the increase in credit default swaps which had climbed more than 50 basis points over the weekend Essentially, credit default swaps, which became a major talking point in the 2008 crisis, are ways for investors to offload risk in an asset if it appears there's a risk of default With credit default swaps increasing for Credit Suisse, some have used this as a marker that sentiment around the bank in financial sectors is reaching critically poor levels

For their part, Credit Suisse has tried to assure investors and the public alike that there is no risk of the bank going belly up The bank reported a market capitalization of $9 85 trillion with roughly $812 billion in assets, making it the 41st biggest bank in the world But the company had been rumored to also be seeking to raise additional capital as well as allaying current

investor concern over its ongoing situation Namely, the stock has been tanking for quite some time now with little done to reverse the trend Remember that in 2008, a failing housing market among many other issues caused a financial crisis that saw companies like Lehman Brothers file for bankruptcy, Bear Sterns sold off to JP Morgan for pennies on the dollar and AIG receive a massive bailout among many other market machinations Does the Credit Suisse predicament cause the same concern? There are certainly markers even if the company has assured others that this isn't a risk

Credit Suisse had already said over the summer that it was scaling back on investments and was cutting costs as well If the stock continues its decline and credit default swaps continue to increase we could be seeing the bank

Nuclear strike could become more appealing for Putin as options shrink

Continued from ➠ back page Oleksandrivka, but that the Russians had taken up pre prepared defensive positions and were continuing to inflict "massive fire on the enemy" Just four days after Russia declared all this territory theirs, it doesn't look good for them And Russian losses are appearing in the public domain, in a way that one month ago they would not have done Russian military bloggers are documenting Russian setbacks to expanding groups of followers The likes of Ramzan Kadyrov, who incidentally has just announced he'll be sending his three teenage sons to fight (including his 14 year old), has poured criticism on the Russian military command in charge of the Lyman debacle

As has Evgeny Prigozhin, who recently revealed himself to nobody's great surprise as head of Russian mercenary group Wagner Kremlin criticism could work in Putin's favour Pundits on state TV are expressing concern at the dire state of affairs Could this open a Pandora's box for the Kremlin, criticism which gathers pace and which it cannot control, triggering a slow unravelling? Perhaps It could also, intentionally or not, serve a purpose for Vladimir Putin If his nuclear bluffs are to be taken seriously, and given Russian capabilities it would be foolish not to, he needs to present a case to his people that the nuclear option is at some point justified He and his propagandists are pitching this as an existential battle against the military might of the collective West, out to destroy and dismantle Russia

A nuclear strike is an abhorrent option in any scenario, but it makes no sense if you're winning With Russia losing ground though, and the outlook increasingly bleak, it might become more appealing as Vladimir Putin sees his options shrink Chance of Russia launching a nuclear attack could grow once it annexed territories, governor warns'It seems unthinkable that we may be facing a nuclear apocalypse' Will Putin use nuclear weapons in Ukraine and the West? 'We'd take a nuclear attack over being a part of Russia'

LIZ TRUSS TAKES ON TORY REBELS IN BATTLE TO REIN IN BENEFITS

London 07 October : Liz Truss is facing a new MPs over re real terms, forced to ab abolition D Street is con not increasi Universal C with inflatio instead usin metric such increase in earnings to those on be work Tory forced the P Minister int rate about t Michael Go already bre ranks on Monday an warning against the

the 45p income tax

change starter” But No 10, considering the is preparing to question it is fair for people on bene et inflation linked rises while f workers get real terms pay employment levels in re at a record low, making it or employers to fill positions ing to calls for more to be incentivise people to take

efits battle looks set to be front in Tory infighting, Truss’s premiership not yet old Writing in The h, the Prime Minister has r first public comments on reversal saying the policy become an “unnecessary distraction” She also hinted at humility over the back lash, saying: “I want to bring the public with me I

Shortest serving UK prime ministers in history

London 07 October : Liz Truss may only be in her second month as prime minister but some Conservative MPs are already speculating that she could be gone by Christmas following September's disastrous "mini Budget" Several Tory MPs are said to have submitted letters of no confidence to Sir Graham Brady, chair of the powerful 1922 Committee which organises leadership contests, following chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng's financial

Nuclear strike could become more appealing for Putin as options shrink

London 07 October : There are more losses for Russia in Ukraine, this time around Kherson Ukraine's long telegraphed Kherson counter offensive is making some headway along the western banks of the Dnipro river, between the villages of Zolota Balka and Dudchany around 100km north of the port city Ukraine makes its biggest breakthrough in the south Russia's ministry of defence admitted on Monday that the Ukrainians had broken through Russian lines at Zolota Balka and

One Of The World's Biggest Banks Is Collapsing?

London 07 October : Could we be headed for the next big bank collapse, akin to

London 07 October : Higher earners will lose thousands of pounds in tax savings after the Chancellor abandoned plans to abolish the top rate of income tax next year Kwasi Kwarteng confirmed the Government would not abolish the 45p rate of income tax for anyone earning over £150,000 in a statement this morning The policy was originally announced less than two weeks ago in the mini Budget, alongside proposals to introduce a 1p cut to the basic rate of income tax in April However, the planned tax cut for the country’s highest earners was met with criticism from some quarters, including from a number of senior Conservatives The U turn means the higher rate of tax will remain at 40pc on earnings between £50,271 to £150,000, while any income above this threshold will continue to be taxed at 45pc It means someone earning £200,000 will be £2,500 a year

be pointed in that direction and it could once again be starting with the big banks Switzerland's

harbingers of financial demise There has become increasing concern about the bank's ability to