Turn Down the Heat: Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts, and the Case for Resilience

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TURN DO WN THE H E AT: C L IM AT E E X T RE ME S , R EGION A L IMPA C TS, A N D TH E C A SE FOR R ESILIENCE

2.2 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 6.1 A1.1 A1.2 A2.1

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Heat Extremes Observed Vulnerability The Sahel Region Agricultural Production Declines and GDP Livestock Vulnerability to Droughts and Flooding Tree Mortality in the Sahel Observed Vulnerability The Threat of Typhoons to Aquaculture Freshwater Infrastructure Fundamental Ecosystem Change Business Disruption due to River Flooding Planned Resettlement Observed Vulnerabilities Indian Monsoon: Potential “Tipping Element” The 2005 Mumbai Flooding Observed Rice Yield Declines The Consequences of Cyclone Sidr Emerging Vulnerability Clusters: the Urban Poor Emission Scenarios in this Report Climate Projections and the Simple Climate Model (SCM) Overview Table of ISI-MIP Models

12 25 39 46 47 51 75 81 83 91 94 95 111 116 124 126 129 162 168 170 174


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