Paper presented at the 52nd CFCS Annual Meeting, Guadeloupe, July 10-16, 2016 As for the Research, Training and Development System (RTDS), it evolves from a sector oriented form in S1 (in continuity with what has traditionally been the rule so far in Guadeloupe), to complete outsourcing of the agricultural expertise and support in S2. It embraces diversification through the widening of the spectrum of agricultural activities in S3. S4 and S5 testify of a complete evolution of the RTDS towards more comprehensive visions. The focus is on ecosystem services, their recognition and remuneration is S4 and on food production thanks to agroecological farming in S5. In both cases, references on such topics have been elaborated so as to design efficient farming systems and provide farmers with adequate support. In terms of governance, different levels were identified that need to converge in order for the different scenarios to become effective. In particular, the conditions of convergence of the regional and civilian governance need to be newly defined and improved for a shared and adequate development scheme to be adopted at the local scale. Finally, the evolution of the social group of farmers as a reference group for culture and identity was extrapolated as follow: from a complete disappearance in S1 and S2 with the recognition of external values as the norm in S2, the group gets a better recognition in S3, S4 and S5. Its status evolves towards the one of identity custodian (albeit under contrasted schemes) in S3 and S4 while there is a complete osmosis between the identity basis and projection of the social group in modernity in S5. Conclusion The five scenarios addressed different challenges and reflected contrasted public policies. Their evaluation enabled to realize that heading towards a desired future is not a single issue and that conditions, implications and consequences need to be thoroughly assessed before moving forward. This work is the first step towards the definition of an action plan leading to the desired outcomes for Guadeloupean agriculture in the future. Results of the study now need to be shared and debated with a broader range of actors within the territory in order to be translated into strategic and operational planning. References Barlagne, C., Diman, J.L., Galan, M.B. , Hoton, C., Noglotte, T., Vinglassalon, A., Athalys-Neel, Y., Biabiany, J., Carabin, C., Geoffroy, E., Grandisson, F., Grandisson, M., Héry, M., Joachim, R., Larade, A., Latchman, C., Sméralda, J., Mora,O., Ozier-Lafontaine, H., 2016 a. Guadeloupean agriculture in 2040 : building up scenarios to foster innovation in agriculture. Poster presented at the 52nd conference of the Caribbean Food Crops Society, July 10-16th, Guadeloupe, FWI de Jouvenel H., 2000, A Brief Methodological Guide to Scenario Building. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 65, Issue 1, pp. 37-48. M. Godet, The art of scenarios and strategic planning: tools and pitfalls, Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65 (1) (2000) 3–22.
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